Bitcoin Price Prediction 2020 - BTC Price Prediction 2022

Graph showing the increasing price of bitcoin (2017)

Graph showing the increasing price of bitcoin (2017) submitted by mashbury to fakehistoryporn [link] [comments]

Here's a bitcoin historical graph showing the rythmic "heartbeat" increases in price. Does anyone else notice that DRK has adopted this same pattern?

Here's a bitcoin historical graph showing the rythmic submitted by Simcom to DRKCoin [link] [comments]

How I plan to identify and sell the top of the next market cycle.

In this post I will share with you some of the strategies I will use to identify the next market cycle top so I can sell for maximum profits (and of course buy back in later in the subsequent bear market!) In the first part of this post I will discuss the resources I will use and in the second part I will discuss tactics in selling and risk management.

Indicators

As the bull run begins to drag on and the price of ETH starts getting closer and closer to $10k I will begin to start watching many of the data science charts over at Look into Bitcoin. This will not be the only source I will use since there are great custom tools on TradingView too as well as more subjective indicators such as friends and family talking crypto and hearing about crypto again in the mainstream media. I’d also like to note that many of the indicators I will be looking at will be Bitcoin focused despite my ETH centred portfolio. Like it or not, this market is still Bitcoin dominated and despite the many proponents of an ETH flippening (myself included), it is quite likely that we will not see it this cycle due to the macro investing environment favouring assets which are good stores of value to weather the uncertainty. Ultimately, Bitcoin has the best store of value meme in crypto and that will be very powerful in the coming years.
I think it is likely that the time for Ethereum or a network like Ethereum with a yielding asset (ETH under ETH 2.0) and a native economy of DeFi, DApps, NFTs and much more will be once all of the stock market uncertainty is over and investors are ready to take on more risk again. I am of course still expecting Ethereum and altcoins to outperform Bitcoin this cycle. However, I think that Bitcoin losing the number 1 spot will be more likely to happen between 2023 and 2030 rather than in the next 2-3 years. I hope I am wrong though.
While most of the indicators on Looking into Bitcoin are useful, I will list the ones I’ll be focusing on the most here:
And finally my favourite, the Golden Ratio Multiplier. This indicator has been remarkably accurate at predicting tops using the golden ratio (1.6) and the fibonacci sequence (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21) multiplied by the 350 day moving average. With each market cycle, the 350 day moving average is multiplied by the next number down in the fibonacci sequence. For example, the 2013 peak only just passed above the 350 day moving average multiplied by 8 and the 2017 bull market just touched the 350 day moving average multiplied by 5. So if this indicator is to work in the next cycle, we can expect the price to slightly exceed 3 times the value of the 350 day moving average. This indicator also worked for Ethereum in the 2017 bull run. While there is no graph for it, on the 13th of January, when ETH hit a peak of $1,419, the 350 day moving average was at $270. $270 multiplied by 5 is $1,350. If you sold at $1,350 you sold incredibly close to the top and I don’t think that any macro traders/long term traders would complain about that timing.
I’d like to note that while indicators like the Golden Ratio Multiplier factors in for less explosive growth each cycle, not all of the above indicators do. So be cautious of this when you think the peak is near as it may be closer than you think. In saying that, there is a lot of luck involved so I should also point out that it also might not be closer than you think. However, it would be better to sell before the peak at say $10,000/BTC as of 2017 than to be left holding all of your crypto when the bear market begins since Bitcoin didn’t spend much time above $10,000/BTC after the $20K peak. Ultimately it is up to you to decide your risk appetite and how well you want to try and time the market. For me, I will definitely be on the conservative side so that I don’t miss the boat completely and hopefully I will be able to sell most of my crypto just before we peak rather than afterwards.

Risk Management

Since timing the top requires a lot of luck, a good method of mitigating the risk is to spread out when you sell. I’m going to share with you my personal strategy but I recommend that you create your own strategy or use this as a basis from which you can use to adjust and tweak it to optimally suit your situation. If you have a large stack, you will probably want to sell early since you might not need such spectacular gains to lock in some life changing money. On the other hand, if you have a smaller stack or if you are younger, you can afford to take more risk and might want to try and time the absolute peak a bit better to get that much closer to making some life changing money. Personally, while my stack isn’t very big in dollar terms, it is a significant % of my net worth and so I don’t have a high risk tolerance with it (at least relative to other people in crypto!) For this reason I will be selling a little bit on the early side.
My plan has three pots of crypto. 20% of my crypto I will hold indefinitely since I very strongly believe in the long term prospect of ETH and BTC as investments. This way if I time the markets terribly, I will always have some skin in the crypto game. The second pot of crypto is 40% which I will sell on the way up to take some profits and I don’t intend on putting this money back into crypto. Initially I will be selling very small amounts of this 40% and as the indicators listed above get closer and closer to calling a top, I will sell larger proportions of this crypto. I haven’t set specific target numbers since things change fast in this space and I feel like the best decisions in this case are made in the moment. For example, estimating a market top is hard when it is 2-3 years away, but it is much easier when it is just months or weeks away. Once again, this is just personal preference. Many of you will find that setting targets now makes it easier for you to pull the trigger and take some profits when everyone else is calling $1M BTC while it is at $100K or calling for $100K ETH when the current price might be $10K.
Finally, the last 40% I will sell all at once when I feel like we are at the top and I am confident that the price will be lower a year on from that point in time. With this 40% I will try and buy back during the bear market with the help of many of the same indicators I listed above from Look into Bitcoin. I will also use some indicators which I didn’t mention above since some are better designed at identifying market bottoms. My goal is to be able to buy back the number of BTC and ETH I held before I sold anything with this 40% (plus the 20% I didn’t sell). This is a big ask but it is better in life to set hard goals that seem unattainable or unrealistic than it is to set easy goals.
To summarise my portfolio strategy, 20% of my portfolio is an indefinite hold, 40% I will sell on the way up and I do not intend on buying back into crypto with this money so I can avoid being over-exposed to crypto. The last 40% I will use to try and sell the top and buy the bottom.

Closing Notes

As a closing note I would like to say that it will be important to be aware of the power of greed and FOMO. Do not under-estimate these emotions and try to remain a grounded and rational investor. Don’t be scared to take profits. I know from experience trading altcoins that it is better to exit a position early and miss out on another 100% price increase than it is to hold through a bear market and take >90% losses. If you go into this bullrun telling yourself you will take profits on the way up, you will have no reason to regret any early sales since you will know that you made a rational trade and not an emotional trade.
submitted by Tricky_Troll to ethfinance [link] [comments]

How I plan to identify and sell the top of the next market cycle.

In this post I will share with you some of the strategies I will use to identify the next market cycle top so I can sell for maximum profits (and of course buy back in later in the subsequent bear market!) In the first part of this post I will discuss the resources I will use and in the second part I will discuss tactics in selling and risk management.

Indicators

As the bull run begins to drag on and the price of ETH starts getting closer and closer to $10k I will begin to start watching many of the data science charts over at Look into Bitcoin. This will not be the only source I will use since there are great custom tools on TradingView too as well as more subjective indicators such as friends and family talking crypto and hearing about crypto again in the mainstream media. I’d also like to note that many of the indicators I will be looking at will be Bitcoin focused despite my ETH centred portfolio. Like it or not, this market is still Bitcoin dominated and despite the many proponents of an ETH flippening (myself included), it is quite likely that we will not see it this cycle due to the macro investing environment favouring assets which are good stores of value to weather the uncertainty. Ultimately, Bitcoin has the best store of value meme in crypto and that will be very powerful in the coming years.
I think it is likely that the time for Ethereum or a network like Ethereum with a yielding asset (ETH under ETH 2.0) and a native economy of DeFi, DApps, NFTs and much more will be once all of the stock market uncertainty is over and investors are ready to take on more risk again. I am of course still expecting Ethereum and altcoins to outperform Bitcoin this cycle. However, I think that Bitcoin losing the number 1 spot will be more likely to happen between 2023 and 2030 rather than in the next 2-3 years. I hope I am wrong though.
While most of the indicators on Looking into Bitcoin are useful, I will list the ones I’ll be focusing on the most here:
And finally my favourite, the Golden Ratio Multiplier. This indicator has been remarkably accurate at predicting tops using the golden ratio (1.6) and the fibonacci sequence (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21) multiplied by the 350 day moving average. With each market cycle, the 350 day moving average is multiplied by the next number down in the fibonacci sequence. For example, the 2013 peak only just passed above the 350 day moving average multiplied by 8 and the 2017 bull market just touched the 350 day moving average multiplied by 5. So if this indicator is to work in the next cycle, we can expect the price to slightly exceed 3 times the value of the 350 day moving average. This indicator also worked for Ethereum in the 2017 bull run. While there is no graph for it, on the 13th of January, when ETH hit a peak of $1,419, the 350 day moving average was at $270. $270 multiplied by 5 is $1,350. If you sold at $1,350 you sold incredibly close to the top and I don’t think that any macro traders/long term traders would complain about that timing.
I’d like to note that while indicators like the Golden Ratio Multiplier factors in for less explosive growth each cycle, not all of the above indicators do. So be cautious of this when you think the peak is near as it may be closer than you think. In saying that, there is a lot of luck involved so I should also point out that it also might not be closer than you think. However, it would be better to sell before the peak at say $10,000/BTC as of 2017 than to be left holding all of your crypto when the bear market begins since Bitcoin didn’t spend much time above $10,000/BTC after the $20K peak. Ultimately it is up to you to decide your risk appetite and how well you want to try and time the market. For me, I will definitely be on the conservative side so that I don’t miss the boat completely and hopefully I will be able to sell most of my crypto just before we peak rather than afterwards.

Risk Management

Since timing the top requires a lot of luck, a good method of mitigating the risk is to spread out when you sell. I’m going to share with you my personal strategy but I recommend that you create your own strategy or use this as a basis from which you can use to adjust and tweak it to optimally suit your situation. If you have a large stack, you will probably want to sell early since you might not need such spectacular gains to lock in some life changing money. On the other hand, if you have a smaller stack or if you are younger, you can afford to take more risk and might want to try and time the absolute peak a bit better to get that much closer to making some life changing money. Personally, while my stack isn’t very big in dollar terms, it is a significant % of my net worth and so I don’t have a high risk tolerance with it (at least relative to other people in crypto!) For this reason I will be selling a little bit on the early side.
My plan has three pots of crypto. 20% of my crypto I will hold indefinitely since I very strongly believe in the long term prospect of ETH and BTC as investments. This way if I time the markets terribly, I will always have some skin in the crypto game. The second pot of crypto is 40% which I will sell on the way up to take some profits and I don’t intend on putting this money back into crypto. Initially I will be selling very small amounts of this 40% and as the indicators listed above get closer and closer to calling a top, I will sell larger proportions of this crypto. I haven’t set specific target numbers since things change fast in this space and I feel like the best decisions in this case are made in the moment. For example, estimating a market top is hard when it is 2-3 years away, but it is much easier when it is just months or weeks away. Once again, this is just personal preference. Many of you will find that setting targets now makes it easier for you to pull the trigger and take some profits when everyone else is calling $1M BTC while it is at $100K or calling for $100K ETH when the current price might be $10K.
Finally, the last 40% I will sell all at once when I feel like we are at the top and I am confident that the price will be lower a year on from that point in time. With this 40% I will try and buy back during the bear market with the help of many of the same indicators I listed above from Look into Bitcoin. I will also use some indicators which I didn’t mention above since some are better designed at identifying market bottoms. My goal is to be able to buy back the number of BTC and ETH I held before I sold anything with this 40% (plus the 20% I didn’t sell). This is a big ask but it is better in life to set hard goals that seem unattainable or unrealistic than it is to set easy goals.
To summarise my portfolio strategy, 20% of my portfolio is an indefinite hold, 40% I will sell on the way up and I do not intend on buying back into crypto with this money so I can avoid being over-exposed to crypto. The last 40% I will use to try and sell the top and buy the bottom.

Closing Notes

As a closing note I would like to say that it will be important to be aware of the power of greed and FOMO. Do not under-estimate these emotions and try to remain a grounded and rational investor. Don’t be scared to take profits. I know from experience trading altcoins that it is better to exit a position early and miss out on another 100% price increase than it is to hold through a bear market and take >90% losses. If you go into this bullrun telling yourself you will take profits on the way up, you will have no reason to regret any early sales since you will know that you made a rational trade and not an emotional trade.
submitted by Tricky_Troll to CryptoCurrency [link] [comments]

[Offer] Data Analysis, Bots, Web Scrapers & Automation Software

Hello!
I'm offering my programming services to develop affordable solutions to common tasks such as:
All the solutions are coded in Python 3 in compliance with best practices and PEP 8.
The scripts are cross platform compatible, you can also schedule them using crontab on a Linux VPS or Raspberry PI and Windows Task Scheduler.
Prices are affordable and payments can be made via PayPal.
Delivery time is often 1-2 business days depending on project difficulty.

Examples

Data Analysis Services

I am also offering Data Analysis services, which cover the process of collecting your dataset and your requirements to cleaning, modeling, exploring and communicating the results.
You will receive a report in a PDF file which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights.
It is preferred that your dataset is in csv, xls or xlsx format. SQL and NoSQL are also acceptable.
If needed I will sign your NDA at no additional cost.
Delivery time and costs depend on your requirements, this will be handled in number of 'questions'. Each 'question' will be answered with the most appropiate graph, a table and a text explanation.
Some examples of 'questions' are:

Examples

Approximate Costs of Most Requested Tasks

Task Description Approximate Cost (USD) Approximate Delivery Time
Simple Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are well structured or for web APIs. $20.00 - $40.00 < 24 hours
Complex Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are not well structured and require a complex spider or managing user sessions. Also for web scrapers that require to rotate proxies and user agents. Starts at $40.00 < 24 hours
Selenium Web ScrapeAutomation A web scraper developed using Selenium WebDriver. Required for the most complex websites, it can include support for proxy rotation. Starts at $100.00 24 - 48 hours
Simple Reddit/TwitteDiscord (webhook) bot A bot that monitors subreddits/users/hashtags/websites and performs a predefined action. $30.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Complex Reddit/Discord bot A bot that takes commands and performs actions with the given parameters. The number of commands and their complexity increases the cost. Starts at $100.00 24 - 72 hours
Data Transformation Tool A script that performs transformation tasks on your datasets and raw text files such as extracting, cleaning, renaming, concatenating, removing duplicates, etc. $20.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Data Analysis (5 questions) A report in PDF which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights from your dataset. $100.00 48 - 72 hours
Costs are influenced by the complexity of the given task and the quality of the target website. Feel free to ask any questions here or via PM.
Website | GitHub
submitted by Agent_Phantom to slavelabour [link] [comments]

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movements

Below are notable difficulty adjustments when hash rate fell and block times become slower for Bitcoin.
  1. 26 Mar 2020 [difficulty adjustment -15.95%, avg block time 11min 54secs]. On the 28th price crashed from $6674 to $6138 ( -8%).
  2. 8 Nov 2019 [difficulty adjustment -7.1%, avg block time 10min 46secs]. On the same day price crashed from $9234 to $8783 ( -4.88%).
  3. The next big adjustment was around Nov to Dec 2018 and there were 3 big adjustments with high block times.

Current situation:
We are 1 day 10 hours from the next difficulty adjustment. Projected difficulty adjustment is -5.61% (https://fork.lol/pow/retarget), which could indicate a small dip. However, take note that the date of last adjustment was the 5th and the 3rd halving was on the 11th, between the 5th to the 11th there was increased hashrate from miners trying to mine the final week of 12.5btc that offset the really slow block times after the halving. Therefore it will be the next difficulty adjustment after the one on the 20th that will completely reflect the slower block times after the halving. Currently the median block time taken on the 17th was around 14min (-28.5% difficulty adjustment).
For people who do not understand blockchain, basically with the Bitcoin 3rd halving, mining profitability fell for a lot of miners and they probably turned off their miners therefore the blockchain mining time became considerably slower which is reflected with slow transaction speed and higher fees as seen currently. Bitcoin sellers moving their BTC from wallet to an exchange are faced with slow transaction speed and therefore the sell pressure of BTC fell considerably which will attribute to the current price increase. There is a correlation between sell pressure and blockchain congestion (the size of the correlation is undetermined).
There is going to be a race. A race between BTC price hiking high enough to attract more miners to reduce avg block times versus the closing window of roughly 2 weeks before the next difficulty adjustment. If the price does not jump high enough, the next difficulty adjustment in the first week of June could signal a huge dip.
I am not an expert. I just did some research on the above and wanted to share with fellow Bitcoin compatriots so that we can tread with caution and not lose our shirts. I do not plan to short BTC but I will exit my BTC positions if I expect double digit negative difficulty adjustment in early June.
Please visit the original post here https://www.reddit.com/Bitcoin/comments/gm23pe/warning_blockchain_difficulty_adjustment/
There are pictures in the original post as well as 2nd halving evidence with pics. I could not post pics here. If possible please upvote the original post, a lot of people downvote it. Not sure why people downvote it, maybe veterans attempting to hide information from newcomers to fleece them of their shirt.

Update 1:>! As of writing, I have opened a small short position on Bitcoin. Stop loss around 10k, estimated take profit around 8500. The reason is because the difficulty adjustment in the next 20 hours, even though is just -5% roughly is still significant. I direct you to look into all the difficulty adjustments in the last 2 years and you will know how rare it is. The ones I caught were all listed at the very top of the post. Since it is my first time shorting BTC, I take this as a learning opportunity so that I will have some experience to face the bigger difficulty adjustment in the first week of June. Analysis into execution, even in failure I am happy.!<
Update 2: The difficulty adjustment (DA) happened roughly 6 hours ago and the sell pressure from -6% DA did not seem to be affecting the market much. However, please take a look now at the estimation for the next DA.
On https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/ it is estimated to be -25%.
On https://fork.lol/pow/retarget estimated to be -18%.
On https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time the median block time for the last day was 16.8min.
My original proposition that the true DA of the halving can only be realized in the next DA stands and that it will be considerable. The increased sell pressure from that DA will be highly significant. That is why there is a race by current miners to get the BTC price up high enough to attract more miners to not have the DA drop too much.
Update 3: Current BTC price at $9100 ( ~39 hours after DA). Then again BTC could have dropped from all sorts of reason. However the coincidence with the DA and with all the past DA is just too high to simply shrug off as irrelevant. Anyways past result cannot predict future ones, stay safe with the trading. Will no longer check on this post.
References:
Difficulty adjustment dates taken from https://btc.com/stats/diff
Bitcoin graph history for price movement taken from coinmarketcap.
Median confirmation time (block time) taken from https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time

Credits to people who assisted the analysis:
kairepaire for pointing out faster block times between 5th-11th.
babies_eater for https://fork.lol/pow/retarget
moes_tavern_wifi for https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Pantamis for https://diff.cryptothis.com/
submitted by theforwardbrain to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

Understanding the RSI (Relative Strength Index)

Understanding the RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), is one of the most popular indicators used in Technical Analysis. Firstly Introduced in J. Welles Wilder’s book, “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems”, the RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the velocity of directional price movement and scaled between 0-100. In the classic view, security is thought to be overbought when its RSI reading is above 70 and oversold when its RSI reading falls below 30.

# How is it Calculated?

The equation for the Relative Strength Index, RSI, is:
RSI Formula
For the first calculation of the Relative Strength Index, RSI, we need the previous 14 day’s close prices. The initial RSI is calculated as follows:
  1. Obtain the sum of the UP closes for the previous 14 days and divide this sum by 14. This is the average UP close.
  2. Obtain the sum of the DOWN closes for the previous 14 days and divide this sum by 14. This is the average DOWN close.
  3. Divide the average UP close by the average DOWN close. This is the Relative Strength (RS).
  4. Add 1.00 to the RS.
  5. Divide the result obtained in Step (4) Into 100 (100 is the nominator).
  6. Subtract the result obtained in Step 5 from 100. This is the first RSI.
From this point on, it is only necessary to use the previous average UP close and the previous average DOWN close in the calculation of the next RSI.

# How to Use it Correctly

If used properly, the RSI can be a very valuable tool in interpreting chart movement.
Tops and Bottoms: These are indicated when the Index goes above 70 or below 30. The Index will usually top out or bottom out before the actual market top or bottom, giving an indication that a reversal or at least a significant reaction is imminent.
Failure Swings: When the RSI crosses down the 70 level and rebounds back up yet fails to reach the previous high. The low point made when the RSI rebounded is considered as a potential short entry point when the RSI moves below this level. Conversely, when the RSI crosses up over the 30 level and rebounds back down but fails to move as low as the previous low reading, it is a failure swing. The peak made when the RSI rebounded is considered a potential long entry point when the RSI moves above this level.
Support and Resistance: Areas of support and resistance often show up clearly on the RSI before becoming apparent on the bar chart. In fact, support and resistance lines drawn using the RSI points are often analogous to trend lines drawn using bar chart points.
Divergence: Divergence between price action and the RSI is a very strong indicator of a market turning point. Divergence occurs when the RSI is increasing while the price movement is either flat or decreasing. Conversely, divergence occurs when the RSI is decreasing price movement is either flat or increasing.
Here is an example of a bullish divergence on BTC/USD (Bitcoin) which signaled the bullish trend occurred after that:

RSI Example
As you can see, a bullish divergence formed in November-December of 19. The bullish divergence formed with Bitcoin moving to new lows in December and RSI holding above its prior low. The mid-December breakout confirmed improving momentum. Divergences tend to be more robust when they form after an overbought or oversold reading.

# Summary

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), used in conjunction with a bar chart, can provide a new dimension of interpretation for the chart trader. No single tool, method or system is going to produce the right answers 100% of the time. A successful trader utilizes several different kinds of input into his decisions. The Relative Strength Index can be a valuable input to your toolbox and into your decision-making process.
  • The RSI is a momentum oscillator (oscillator is a line graph that moves between two extremes).
  • It is scaled between 0 – 100.
  • When the RSI reading is above 70 it usually considered overbought and when it falls below 30 it usually considered oversold.
  • The standard is to use 14 periods to calculate the initial RSI value, but you can choose the time frame you think fit the most.
Originally written at:
https://www.iam-unchained.com/trading/investing-learn/relative-strength-index-understanding-rsi/
submitted by Onah92 to technicalanalysis [link] [comments]

[For Hire] Data Analysis, Bots, Web Scrapers & Automation Software

Hello!
I'm offering my programming services to develop affordable solutions to common tasks such as:
All the solutions are coded in Python 3 in compliance with best practices and PEP 8.
The scripts are cross platform compatible, you can also schedule them using crontab on a Linux VPS or Raspberry PI and Windows Task Scheduler.
Prices are affordable and payments can be made via PayPal.
Delivery time is often 1-2 business days depending on project difficulty.

Examples

Data Analysis Services

I am also offering Data Analysis services, which cover the process of collecting your dataset and your requirements to cleaning, modeling, exploring and communicating the results.
You will receive a report in a PDF file which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights.
It is preferred that your dataset is in csv, xls or xlsx format. SQL and NoSQL are also acceptable.
If needed I will sign your NDA at no additional cost.
Delivery time and costs depend on your requirements, this will be handled in number of 'questions'. Each 'question' will be answered with the most appropiate graph, a table and a text explanation.
Some examples of 'questions' are:

Examples

Approximate Costs of Most Requested Tasks

Task Description Approximate Cost (USD) Approximate Delivery Time
Simple Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are well structured or for web APIs. $20.00 - $40.00 < 24 hours
Complex Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are not well structured and require a complex spider or managing user sessions. Also for web scrapers that require to rotate proxies and user agents. Starts at $40.00 < 24 hours
Selenium Web ScrapeAutomation A web scraper developed using Selenium WebDriver. Required for the most complex websites, it can include support for proxy rotation. Starts at $100.00 24 - 48 hours
Simple Reddit/TwitteDiscord (webhook) bot A bot that monitors subreddits/users/hashtags/websites and performs a predefined action. $30.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Complex Reddit/Discord bot A bot that takes commands and performs actions with the given parameters. The number of commands and their complexity increases the cost. Starts at $100.00 24 - 72 hours
Data Transformation Tool A script that performs transformation tasks on your datasets and raw text files such as extracting, cleaning, renaming, concatenating, removing duplicates, etc. $20.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Data Analysis (5 questions) A report in PDF which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights from your dataset. $100.00 48 - 72 hours
Costs are influenced by the complexity of the given task and the quality of the target website. Feel free to ask any questions here or via PM.
Website | GitHub
submitted by Agent_Phantom to jobbit [link] [comments]

[For Hire] Data Analysis, Bots, Web Scrapers & Automation Software

Hello!
I'm offering my programming services to develop affordable solutions to common tasks such as:
All the solutions are coded in Python 3 in compliance with best practices and PEP 8.
The scripts are cross platform compatible, you can also schedule them using crontab on a Linux VPS or Raspberry PI and Windows Task Scheduler.
Prices are affordable and payments can be made via PayPal.
Delivery time is often 1-2 business days depending on project difficulty.

Examples

Data Analysis Services

I am also offering Data Analysis services, which cover the process of collecting your dataset and your requirements to cleaning, modeling, exploring and communicating the results.
You will receive a report in a PDF file which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights.
It is preferred that your dataset is in csv, xls or xlsx format. SQL and NoSQL are also acceptable.
If needed I will sign your NDA at no additional cost.
Delivery time and costs depend on your requirements, this will be handled in number of 'questions'. Each 'question' will be answered with the most appropiate graph, a table and a text explanation.
Some examples of 'questions' are:

Examples

Approximate Costs of Most Requested Tasks

Task Description Approximate Cost (USD) Approximate Delivery Time
Simple Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are well structured or for web APIs. $20.00 - $40.00 < 24 hours
Complex Web Scraper A web scraper for websites that are not well structured and require a complex spider or managing user sessions. Also for web scrapers that require to rotate proxies and user agents. Starts at $40.00 < 24 hours
Selenium Web ScrapeAutomation A web scraper developed using Selenium WebDriver. Required for the most complex websites, it can include support for proxy rotation. Starts at $100.00 24 - 48 hours
Simple Reddit/TwitteDiscord (webhook) bot A bot that monitors subreddits/users/hashtags/websites and performs a predefined action. $30.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Complex Reddit/Discord bot A bot that takes commands and performs actions with the given parameters. The number of commands and their complexity increases the cost. Starts at $100.00 24 - 72 hours
Data Transformation Tool A script that performs transformation tasks on your datasets and raw text files such as extracting, cleaning, renaming, concatenating, removing duplicates, etc. $20.00 - $50.00 < 24 hours
Data Analysis (5 questions) A report in PDF which will contain graphs, plots, tables and insights from your dataset. $100.00 48 - 72 hours
Costs are influenced by the complexity of the given task and the quality of the target website. Feel free to ask any questions here or via PM.
Website | GitHub
submitted by Agent_Phantom to forhire [link] [comments]

Chainlink Up 339% YTD, Making It The Tenth-Largest Cryptocurrency

Chainlink Up 339% YTD, Making It The Tenth-Largest Cryptocurrency

Chainlink’s 95% Weekly Price Surge May Indicate The Start Of An Altcoin Season
Despite that Bitcoin marks one of its longest non-volatile periods, Chainlink (LINK) makes another move into the green, with a 26% price increase in the past 24 hours. Chainlink also recorded a new all-time high of $8.40, before correcting to $7.85, as of press time. Тhe most recent price increase managed to boost LINK’s position in CoinMarketCap’s market capitalization chart to reach 10th place, surpassing projects like EOS, Tezos (XTZ), and Stellar (XLM).
Source: CryptoBrowser.io
Looking three months back, Chainlink’s price increased with 128%, with an almost tri-fold price boost since the March 12 “Black Thursday” global market wipeout. Since the start of 2020, Link’s price is up with 339%, making it one of the best-performing cryptocurrencies in 2020.
The reason behind Chainlink’s massive price boost is the series of partnerships LINK sеcured with DeFi projects. Many of the DeFi projects need some kind of real-time price quotations, and Chainlink offers to them decentralized oracle network services. In just a week, Chainlink announced a series of key partnerships with companies like Kyber Network, Nexo Finance, REN protocol, Conflux Network and Bancor.
The list of partnerships, combined with the bullish market stance on DeFi projects, may push LINK’s price above the $10 mark. But in order for LINK’s price to spike above 10$, Chainlink has to continue the successful partnership streak.
Crypto experts like Josh Rager commented on the recent market situation, showing support for Chainlink in a Bitcoin-dominated crypto sector. Rager, who is co-founder of crypto learning platform Blockroots, and an official advisor to few blockchain startups, stated that Bitcoin maximalists should consider focusing their sight towards altcoins, because Bitcoin shows little to no movement.
„Bitcoin is moving in a $1000 range, while Chainlink exploded from $3.65 to $8.50+”, Rager tweeted.
Another crypto expert, Cole Garner, joined Josh Rager’s opinion, highlighting LINK had its first candle closed above the trendline, which may be the start for a parabolic movement. Crypto trader Scott Melker, known as “The Wolf of All Streets”, posted a graph on Twitter, showing exponential growth for LINK since its inception to present day. “The most-bullish crypto-asset I have seen in a long time,” Melker noted.
However, Santiment – a crypto-focused behavior analytics company, stated that after such massive price gains, a “-9% retracement is commonly evident in the 12 days after being #1 on our Emerging Trends list.”
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s dominance retracted slightly, which further fueled the altcoin bulls, resulting in larger trading volumes for some of the projects.
submitted by Crypto_Browser to CryptoBrowser_EN [link] [comments]

BINAnace customer service number $1⑈(844)〥907〥0583 Binance SupportHelpline

BINAnace customer service number $1⑈(844)〥907〥0583 Binance SupportHelpline
BINAnace customer service number $1⑈(844)〥907〥0583 Binance SupportHelpline
BINAnace customer service number $1⑈(844)〥907〥0583 Binance SupportHelpline
BINAnace customer service number $1⑈(844)〥907〥0583 Binance SupportHelpline
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Customer can Setup of wireless network and many more.
Issues related to sending and receiving mails and messages.
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Individual should visit the BINANCE “Forgot Password” page.
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Reviews
user-imageAllan
24 Oct 2018
BINANCE Internet Cares (previously SBC Internet Cares) is a trade name for several
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user-imageanik
23 Oct 2018
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user-imageExpertneeds
24 Oct 2018
What type of problem is you getting in signup
user-imageJack Ma
29 Nov 2018
How do I get my BINANCE email on my iPhone?
user-imageDevid
21 Feb 2019
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user-imageDevid
21 Feb 2019
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user-imageRonmartin
21 Jun 2019
Sbcgloble recovering problem and BINANCE NET EMAIL LOGIN ERROR issue
any type of sbcgloble email problem contact for help
user-imageEPSON PRINTERcare
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15 Jan 2020
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user-imageAdward
administraciones y artículos, sin ban, no muchas tiendas reconocen Bitcoin todavía, y algunas naciones lo han restringido por completo. ¿Cómo transmite Binance los resultados? Cada Binance es generalmente un registro de PC que se guarda en una aplicación de 'billetera computarizada' con un teléfono celular o tal vez una PC.
Las personas pueden transmitir Binance (o tal vez parte de una) en su billetera computarizada, y además puede enviar Binances an otros.
Cada intercambio está atrapado en un resumen abierto conocido como blockchain.
Entonces es basic seguir la cuenta de Binances para evitar que las personas gasten monedas que no usan, hagan duplicados o posiblemente arreglen en intercambios.
¿En qué capacidad pueden las personas obtener Binances?
Descubrirá tres formas esenciales en que las personas obtienen Binances.
Puede comprar Binances utilizando dinero 'genuino'.
Puede ofrecer cosas y dejar que las personas paguen con Binances.
O, por otro lado, podrían hacerse utilizando una PC.
¿Cómo se hacen las nuevas Binances?
Para que su marco telefónico de Binances funcione, las personas pueden hacer sus intercambios de procedimientos de PC para tasks.
Existen marcos de PC, que resuelven totales confusos. En algunos casos, child remunerados con Binances como resultado de la tenencia del propietario.
Muchas personas hacen PC increíbles básicamente para intentar obtener Binances. Esto se conoce como minería.
En cualquier caso, los totales comienzan a ser cada vez más difíciles de evitar que se cree una cantidad tan grande de Binances.
En el caso de que comenzara a minar ahora, podría haber muchos años anteriores en los que obtuvo una Binances.
Puede terminar gastando más efectivo en fuerza eléctrica para su PC o PC de lo que las Binances estarán justificadas, a pesar de tasks los problemas.
¿Por qué razón child valiosas las Binances?
Feed muchas otras cosas además del dinero, que consideramos importantes, similares a las piedras preciosas y el oro. ¡Los aztecas utilizaron granos de cacao como efectivo!
Las finanzas child útiles a la luz del hecho de que las personas están inclinadas an intercambiarlas por administraciones reales y mercancías, e incluso efectivo.
¿Sería capaz de ser sano?
Tasks los intercambios se registran abiertamente, por lo que es difícil duplicar Binances, falsificarlos o incluso gastar personas que no usa.
15 Jan 2020
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user-imageRonmartin
15 Jan 2020
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and Ad-Free. Sbcgolbal login has directory, news, advertising, social media, and
much more. It has received immense popularity due to its outstanding features and
performances. It has recently modified its looks for computer and Smart phones
users. In all the spheres, BINANCE has managed to impress its users with their
outstanding care and different types of features. If we talk about its popularity
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user-imageBINANCE R. Fauchald
30 May 2020
Have had “[[[[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])](mailto:[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]))](mailto:[[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])](mailto:[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])))](mailto:[[[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])](mailto:[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]))](mailto:[[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])](mailto:[[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]))))” account for 35 years. Now BINANCE thinks they have
deleted it. I went into replace lost password and they say cannot rBINANCE password.
Spent a week jumping from dept. to dept. Can you help or did BINANCE delete a active
daily account? Thank You. BINANCE R Fauchald

Bottom of Form
submitted by paxoje604DJ to u/paxoje604DJ [link] [comments]

ϐinance SUPPort "☎️ |" Number{+l844^907^^0583}}☎️ binanace Customer care|| Binance Helpline number #M99!!#

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One of the most prevailing Southwestern Bell Telephone company which is subsidiary
of BINANCE headquartered in Texas, United State.. BINANCE is one of the most
demanded email care all over the world and this care confines millions of people
along with it. Due to this reason there are large number of users who are getting
different trouble everyday. For communication any person calling is supposed to be
one of the best source and thus you need to dial BINANCE tech support phone
number if facing any complexities. In the present era we are seeing the increasing
demand of Apple product in the international market and thus the company has
represented many apps of email care careed by iPhone and iPad etc.
Following issues are there for which we are highly capable to provide best solution:
You can learn the process of setting up a new email account as well as any email
client like EPSON PRINTER, BINANCE and apple mail etc.
User can learn the up-gradation to the new BINANCE BINANCE homepage.
Modification of email server settings.
Easy steps for mostly demanded help like Password recovery.
Customer can Setup of wireless network and many more.
Issues related to sending and receiving mails and messages.
Points for which you choose the Email tech support number:
Highly qualified, dedicated, certified and experienced professionals.
24 By 7 round the clock remote care.
Secured remote access along with guarantee of the security of data.
Users interact with team of dedicated professionals.
Quick availability of cares and instant solutions.
Result oriented cares and reliable cares.
BINANCE Email Tech support over the phone:
All we know that product and cares of a telecom company essentially carry
technical connections and strings in case of any faulty issues you can directly get
touch by dialling BINANCE technical care phone number any time round the clock.
At the relevant email tech support of BINANCE customer get utmost
satisfaction with no grievances. If your acceleration resist while mailing and
messaging then quickly call on BINANCE tech support. By seeing the increasing
demand the company has been represented free calling via toll free number. This
number is quite advantageous because people can interact with relevant techies
without any charge.
The smtp settings for BINANCE are:
Choose the option “settings” which is located in the subcategories of “APPS”.
Inside “settings” would be located an option named “accounts”. All the accounts
management is done by utilising this option.
In this select the option “add account”.
Next select ‘email’.
Under email, choose ‘other providers’.
Next you will have to enter your BINANCE username or email ID and password.
After entering your login details, select the option to manually setup your EPSON PRINTER
email account.
In the manual settings, set the server type as POP3.
Type in your username and password
Next, in the POP3 server field, type – pop.EPSON PRINTER.EPSON PRINTER.com
The port will have the value set to 995.
Next we would have to configure the smtp settings.-
In the SMTP server field, type in – smtp.EPSON PRINTER.EPSON PRINTER.com
The port will have the value set to 465.
Enter your username and password again.
Finally click ok to finish configuring the manual setup.
Your email account should be up and running. However if your email account still not
working, you would have to contact the BINANCE tech support. Their customer
representative will work with you on finding a quick solution to your problem. The
BINANCE technical care is extremely careive and helpful in resolving your
problems within the shortest time frame so that you do not face inconvenience due to
it.
How To Remove Password RBINANCE Issue While Using BINANCE Account
Number of companies are there who offers different email cares to the users.It is
the responsibility of the user to select reliable email care. BINANCE is known to
provide a trouble free care so, that the user can get the best from it.
It doesn’t mEPSON PRINTERers whether the email care is performing too slow or getting trouble
while adding a signature,it would be easy for you to connect with tech support team
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submitted by paxoje6045Dj to u/paxoje6045Dj [link] [comments]

Price history questions

In the app, when looking at Bitcoin or Ethereum, there's a graph that plots the price history. Above the graph, it displays the current price, and the % change increase/decrease. Below the graph, there are options to modify the timescale (1H, 1D, 1W, 1M, 1Y)
I assume the initial "% change" shown is calculated from the first data point shown (1 week prior to now) to the current price, however, I'm confused how the % change is calculated when selecting a point on the graph.
If I select/tap/click/mark a point for "June 22", is the % change shown calculated: from the 15th to the 22nd; from the 22nd to 1 week prior to today; or from the 22nd to now?
I've also noticed some small things, such as that dragging across the graph sometimes causes the marker to jump around randomly on the graph, and the marker stays on the graph if you drag your finger from the graph to the "transactions" section before releasing.
submitted by CanadianRegi to shakepay [link] [comments]

Bitcoin Hits Several Records Amid Seemingly “Boring” BTC Period

Bitcoin Hits Several Records Amid Seemingly “Boring” BTC Period

The Records Come As Bitcoin’s Daily Trading Volumes Decreased And Social Engagement Slightly Increased
The past couple of weeks were rather calm in the crypto world, as Bitcoin showed decreased price volatility and sideway price movements. However, the world’s biggest cryptocurrency based on market capitalization achieved several highs on vital metrics, such as hourly transaction count, number of new addresses and number of active addresses.
Source: Glassnode
The news was firstly announced by crypto analytics company Glassnode’s chief technical officer Rafael Schultze-Kraft. He tweeted a graph, showing Bitcoin hit a two-year high on hourly new addresses. Active addresses marked a one-year high, while transaction count hitting a 10-month high. Bitcoin also recorded an all-time high in the field of hourly spent outputs with a 4-hour lifespan.
There hasn`t been such an increase in Bitcoin new addresses since the bullish run at the end of 2017. Since the end of the bullish run, Bitcoin has been on a steady daily new addresses increase run, starting from 195,000 in April to reach a current number of over 450,000. Bitcoin also recorded an almost three-fold increase in daily active wallets, reaching over 1,08 million as of today from 423,000 at the beginning of 2018.
Source: Glassnode
The new highs come amid crypto experts considering Bitcoin’s current situation as “boring”. According to Mati Greenspan from Quantum Economics, even the combined effects of the hourly transaction counts high and the surge in the active addresses could not make Bitcoin “interesting”.
“Even the halving event, when the network difficulty increased with 100%, is getting boring. Despite the news, social engagement and trading volumes are still falling”, Greenspan tweeted.
Indeed, Bitcoin’s difficulty adjustment remained flat on July 1, 2020, moving down just 0.0033%. Also, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume decreased from over $50 billion in May to around $15 billion at time of press.
Speaking of social engagement, crypto analytics platform Lunarcrush posted a graph, showing subtle social activity growth trend since the start of 2020. According to the researchers, last week showed a slight boost in social media posts regarding Bitcoin, reaching 927,000 publications. However, despite Bitcoin being rather calm on social media, its price increased dramatically in January and April.
Source: Lunarcrush
submitted by Crypto_Browser to CryptoBrowser_EN [link] [comments]

How I plan to identify and sell the top of the next market cycle.

In this post I will share with you some of the strategies I will use to identify the next market cycle top so I can sell for maximum profits (and of course buy back in later in the subsequent bear market!) In the first part of this post I will discuss the resources I will use and in the second part I will discuss tactics in selling and risk management.

Indicators

As the bull run begins to drag on and the price of ETH starts getting closer and closer to $10k I will begin to start watching many of the data science charts over at Look into Bitcoin. This will not be the only source I will use since there are great custom tools on TradingView too as well as more subjective indicators such as friends and family talking crypto and hearing about crypto again in the mainstream media. I’d also like to note that many of the indicators I will be looking at will be Bitcoin focused despite my ETH centred portfolio. Like it or not, this market is still Bitcoin dominated and despite the many proponents of an ETH flippening (myself included), it is quite likely that we will not see it this cycle due to the macro investing environment favouring assets which are good stores of value to weather the uncertainty. Ultimately, Bitcoin has the best store of value meme in crypto and that will be very powerful in the coming years.
I think it is likely that the time for Ethereum or a network like Ethereum with a yielding asset (ETH under ETH 2.0) and a native economy of DeFi, DApps, NFTs and much more will be once all of the stock market uncertainty is over and investors are ready to take on more risk again. I am of course still expecting Ethereum and altcoins to outperform Bitcoin this cycle. However, I think that Bitcoin losing the number 1 spot will be more likely to happen between 2023 and 2030 rather than in the next 2-3 years. I hope I am wrong though.
While most of the indicators on Looking into Bitcoin are useful, I will list the ones I’ll be focusing on the most here:
And finally my favourite, the Golden Ratio Multiplier. This indicator has been remarkably accurate at predicting tops using the golden ratio (1.6) and the fibonacci sequence (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21) multiplied by the 350 day moving average. With each market cycle, the 350 day moving average is multiplied by the next number down in the fibonacci sequence. For example, the 2013 peak only just passed above the 350 day moving average multiplied by 8 and the 2017 bull market just touched the 350 day moving average multiplied by 5. So if this indicator is to work in the next cycle, we can expect the price to slightly exceed 3 times the value of the 350 day moving average. This indicator also worked for Ethereum in the 2017 bull run. While there is no graph for it, on the 13th of January, when ETH hit a peak of $1,419, the 350 day moving average was at $270. $270 multiplied by 5 is $1,350. If you sold at $1,350 you sold incredibly close to the top and I don’t think that any macro traders/long term traders would complain about that timing.
I’d like to note that while indicators like the Golden Ratio Multiplier factors in for less explosive growth each cycle, not all of the above indicators do. So be cautious of this when you think the peak is near as it may be closer than you think. In saying that, there is a lot of luck involved so I should also point out that it also might not be closer than you think. However, it would be better to sell before the peak at say $10,000/BTC as of 2017 than to be left holding all of your crypto when the bear market begins since Bitcoin didn’t spend much time above $10,000/BTC after the $20K peak. Ultimately it is up to you to decide your risk appetite and how well you want to try and time the market. For me, I will definitely be on the conservative side so that I don’t miss the boat completely and hopefully I will be able to sell most of my crypto just before we peak rather than afterwards.

Risk Management

Since timing the top requires a lot of luck, a good method of mitigating the risk is to spread out when you sell. I’m going to share with you my personal strategy but I recommend that you create your own strategy or use this as a basis from which you can use to adjust and tweak it to optimally suit your situation. If you have a large stack, you will probably want to sell early since you might not need such spectacular gains to lock in some life changing money. On the other hand, if you have a smaller stack or if you are younger, you can afford to take more risk and might want to try and time the absolute peak a bit better to get that much closer to making some life changing money. Personally, while my stack isn’t very big in dollar terms, it is a significant % of my net worth and so I don’t have a high risk tolerance with it (at least relative to other people in crypto!) For this reason I will be selling a little bit on the early side.
My plan has three pots of crypto. 20% of my crypto I will hold indefinitely since I very strongly believe in the long term prospect of ETH and BTC as investments. This way if I time the markets terribly, I will always have some skin in the crypto game. The second pot of crypto is 40% which I will sell on the way up to take some profits and I don’t intend on putting this money back into crypto. Initially I will be selling very small amounts of this 40% and as the indicators listed above get closer and closer to calling a top, I will sell larger proportions of this crypto. I haven’t set specific target numbers since things change fast in this space and I feel like the best decisions in this case are made in the moment. For example, estimating a market top is hard when it is 2-3 years away, but it is much easier when it is just months or weeks away. Once again, this is just personal preference. Many of you will find that setting targets now makes it easier for you to pull the trigger and take some profits when everyone else is calling $1M BTC while it is at $100K or calling for $100K ETH when the current price might be $10K.
Finally, the last 40% I will sell all at once when I feel like we are at the top and I am confident that the price will be lower a year on from that point in time. With this 40% I will try and buy back during the bear market with the help of many of the same indicators I listed above from Look into Bitcoin. I will also use some indicators which I didn’t mention above since some are better designed at identifying market bottoms. My goal is to be able to buy back the number of BTC and ETH I held before I sold anything with this 40% (plus the 20% I didn’t sell). This is a big ask but it is better in life to set hard goals that seem unattainable or unrealistic than it is to set easy goals.
To summarise my portfolio strategy, 20% of my portfolio is an indefinite hold, 40% I will sell on the way up and I do not intend on buying back into crypto with this money so I can avoid being over-exposed to crypto. The last 40% I will use to try and sell the top and buy the bottom.

Closing Notes

As a closing note I would like to say that it will be important to be aware of the power of greed and FOMO. Do not under-estimate these emotions and try to remain a grounded and rational investor. Don’t be scared to take profits. I know from experience trading altcoins that it is better to exit a position early and miss out on another 100% price increase than it is to hold through a bear market and take >90% losses. If you go into this bullrun telling yourself you will take profits on the way up, you will have no reason to regret any early sales since you will know that you made a rational trade and not an emotional trade.
submitted by Tricky_Troll to ethtrader [link] [comments]

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movement

Warning: Blockchain difficulty adjustment affecting price movement
Below are notable difficulty adjustments when hash rate fell and block times become slower for Bitcoin.
  1. 26 Mar 2020 [difficulty adjustment -15.95%, avg block time 11min 54secs]. On the 28th price crashed from $6674 to $6138 ( -8%).
  2. 8 Nov 2019 [difficulty adjustment -7.1%, avg block time 10min 46secs]. On the same day price crashed from $9234 to $8783 ( -4.88%).
  3. The next big adjustment was around Nov to Dec 2018 and there were 3 big adjustments with high block times.
  • 19 Dec 2018 [-9.56%, avg block time 11min 3secs]
  • 3 Dec 2018 [-15.13%, avg block time 11min 47secs]
  • 17 Nov 2018 [-7.39%, avg block time 10min 48secs]
  • There was huge drop off starting on 14th Nov all the way to a bottom on 14-15th Dec ($6351 to $3288 around -48%).

Current situation:
We are 1 day 10 hours from the next difficulty adjustment. Projected difficulty adjustment is -5.61% (https://fork.lol/pow/retarget), which could indicate a small dip. However, take note that the date of last adjustment was the 5th and the 3rd halving was on the 11th, between the 5th to the 11th there was increased hashrate from miners trying to mine the final week of 12.5btc that offset the really slow block times after the halving. Therefore it will be the next difficulty adjustment after the one on the 20th that will completely reflect the slower block times after the halving. Currently the median block time taken on the 17th was around 14min (-28.5% difficulty adjustment).

https://preview.redd.it/ysnv85wh0lz41.jpg?width=597&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e130b077f9dc2fc9d02666ef89e6f9249a05f535
For people who do not understand blockchain, basically with the Bitcoin 3rd halving, mining profitability fell for a lot of miners and they probably turned off their miners therefore the blockchain mining time became considerably slower which is reflected with slow transaction speed and higher fees as seen currently. Bitcoin sellers moving their BTC from wallet to an exchange are faced with slow transaction speed and therefore the sell pressure of BTC fell considerably which will attribute to the current price increase. There is a correlation between sell pressure and blockchain congestion (the size of the correlation is undetermined).
There is going to be a race. A race between BTC price hiking high enough to attract more miners to reduce avg block times versus the closing window of roughly 2 weeks before the next difficulty adjustment. If the price does not jump high enough, the next difficulty adjustment in the first week of June could signal a huge dip.
I am not an expert. I just did some research on the above and wanted to share with fellow Bitcoin compatriots so that we can tread with caution and not lose our shirts. I do not plan to short BTC but I will exit my BTC positions if I expect double digit negative difficulty adjustment in early June.

Bitcoin 2nd halving evidence:

2nd halving falls between the 5th and the 19th adjustment so it is only reflected on the 3rd of Aug difficulty adjustment ( -5.43%).

See the dip on the 3rd of August. Price fell from $600 to $533 about 11% drop.
Update 1:>! As of writing, I have opened a small short position on Bitcoin. Stop loss around 10k, estimated take profit around 8500. The reason is because the difficulty adjustment in the next 20 hours, even though is just -5% roughly is still significant. I direct you to look into all the difficulty adjustments in the last 2 years and you will know how rare it is. The ones I caught were all listed at the very top of the post. Since it is my first time shorting BTC, I take this as a learning opportunity so that I will have some experience to face the bigger difficulty adjustment in the first week of June. Analysis into execution, even in failure I am happy.!<
Update 2: The difficulty adjustment (DA) happened roughly 6 hours ago and the sell pressure from -6% DA did not seem to be affecting the market much. However, please take a look now at the estimation for the next DA.
On https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/ it is estimated to be -25%.
On https://fork.lol/pow/retarget estimated to be -18%.
On https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time the median block time for the last day was 16.8min.
My original proposition that the true DA of the halving can only be realized in the next DA stands and that it will be considerable. The increased sell pressure from that DA will be highly significant. That is why there is a race by current miners to get the BTC price up high enough to attract more miners to not have the DA drop too much.
References:
Difficulty adjustment dates taken from https://btc.com/stats/diff
Bitcoin graph history for price movement taken from coinmarketcap.
Median confirmation time (block time) taken from https://www.blockchain.com/charts/median-confirmation-time

Credits to people who assisted the analysis:
kairepaire for pointing out faster block times between 5th-11th.
babies_eater for https://fork.lol/pow/retarget
moes_tavern_wifi for https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/
Pantamis for https://diff.cryptothis.com/
submitted by theforwardbrain to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Providing Some Clarity on Bitcoin Unlimited's Financial Decisions

Providing Some Clarity on Bitcoin Unlimited's Financial Decisions

https://preview.redd.it/zjps7jpg7rg41.jpg?width=1601&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=defb61fb45c1a2ad5c7e31fe9200541783ba6478

Introduction

As promised in our previous article, we wanted to provide some extra clarity on Bitcoin Unlimited financial choices. We wanted to do this as there has been a lot of confusion and misinformation within the community as to the reasons behind these choices.
It has been claimed by a small number of influential people in the ecosystem that Bitcoin Unlimited does not support BCH (see the previous article debunking this claim) and that BU’s holdings are supposedly evidence of this. Background Bitcoin Unlimited was founded in 2015, and was set up as a response to the Bitcoin block size debate. More specifically, it was created to provide software that allowed on-chain scaling as originally proposed by Satoshi Nakamoto. As we all know, on-chain scaling is a vital component required for peer-to-peer electronic cash to serve the world’s population. Without it Bitcoin would be limited to serving only a small number of people willing and able to pay exorbitantly high fees. Our organisation was created to make Bitcoin unlimited. This prediction of high fees and limited capacity was played out in the BTC we know today as we predicted.
Bitcoin Unlimited received a large anonymous donation in BTC in 2016 from supporters of the ‘on-chain scaling’ movement. This donation allowed our organisation to remain independent and focussed on building software that allows on-chain scaling.
As you all know, in August of 2017, Bitcoin Cash was created after an unsuccessful multi-year effort to allow Bitcoin (BTC) to scale on-chain. Bitcoin Cash was created with the goal of on-chain scaling to support the world’s population right at its heart and BU has been supporting it since the idea was originally formulated.
Once Bitcoin Cash was created it also meant that all funds Bitcoin Unlimited held (BTC) were forked into two equal sets of coins, BTC and BCH. This put BU into a position where we had to make an important decision on how to handle these funds in a way that was in the interest of both BCH and BU.

Financial Prudence

Any organisation that wants to be effective in its goals must aim to always be financially sustainable. Without money, achieving anything becomes significantly more difficult. Cryptocurrencies only magnify this issue even further. Highly volatile asset values, opaque and dynamic tax and regulatory environments, and the unique properties of cryptocurrencies all contribute towards making the financial operations of an organisation an extreme challenge to say the least. Navigating this challenging landscape is a necessary requirement for the success of any organisation within our industry though.
While Bitcoin Unlimited’s primary goal is to make sure peer-to-peer electronic cash (as set out in the Bitcoin white-paper) becomes a reality, a secondary goal must be to make sure that it has the resources required to make its primary goal achievable, and an important part of these resources are its funds.
After Bitcoin forked into BTC and BCH, Bitcoin Unlimited then held an equal number of both. Although a BUIP was passed to authorize some extra conversion, significant practical obstacles to doing so exist (although this is still being worked on). However, since the overarching reason to convert a significant number of BTC to BCH is to maintain financial prudence based on the reasons outlined below and the poor BCH price performance has heavily skewed our holdings, we do anticipate some rebalancing when these obstacles are resolved.
We will further expand on these reasons below. Historic Volatility It is a fact that BCH has historically been more volatile than BTC. An organisation that wishes to maintain a lower level of risk must aim to hold a majority of funds in assets which will maintain their value over time, i.e. be less volatile in their price. It is unfortunately true that BCH has been a more volatile asset than BCH since its creation. While there has been lots of progress and maturation of the BCH ecosystem, this price volatility is likely due to BCH still being a smaller and less developed ecosystem than BTC. The graphs below show levels of volatility in the two coins compared.

BTC
BCH
This higher volatility in BCH has meant that to significantly increase BU’s holdings of BCH would expose the organisation to a higher level of risk for ideological reasons. BTC is already a high-volatility asset and to expose the organisation funds to even higher volatility and further risk is a decision that should not be taken based on simplistic ideology, but rather with the strategy of maximising the ability for the organisation to achieve its primary goals. This meant making the decision to not take on a higher exposure to price volatility, and instead maintain a more conservative risk profile.

Lack Of Say In The Protocol

One argument that has been put forward to suggest that this decision does not make sense because it is analogous to a CEO of a company holding more shares in their competitor’s company. This analogy does not accurately reflect the current scenario for BU or BCH. In this analogy BU is the CEO and BCH is the company. Ignoring the shareholders, A CEO is able to have the largest impact on a company compared to any other stakeholder. Their actions have a direct impact on operations of the company and therefore its value and the value of the shares.
Unfortunately, Bitcoin Unlimited currently has little to no input on the BCH protocol. It has no way to directly influence the direction or success of BCH. There are two reasons for this. Firstly, BCH has a mining software homogeneity that is as centralised as BTC (i.e. essentially all miners and pools run a single client, BitcoinABC). This means that, all though BU has a slight majority in non-mining and in-consensus nodes, BU has no say in protocol decisions unless a collaborative and decentralised development model were to be used by BitcoinABC. This is an unfortunate situation considering the fact that the community split from BTC for this very reason and is strongly in support of decentralised development. Secondly, BitcoinABC does not take a collaborative approach to development. All decisions and features are dictated by BitcoinABC.
In fact the situation is unfortunately even worse than this. BitcoinABC has decided to take an actively hostile position against Bitcoin Unlimited (and many other valuable participants in the ecosystem) and would rather that it did not exist at all.
While a number of members of BitcoinABC were previously members of BU, they unfortunately used their privilege as members to try (but fortunately failed) to sabotage the organisation.
https://www.bitcoinunlimited.info/voting/rendeproposal_vote_result/7eb0ded0487a6593ac3976b63422294e1a84b209be1307c46f373489922212a0
https://www.bitcoinunlimited.info/voting/rendeproposal_vote_result/6285fcef8fa44416b8e83f25bfebe79aff502c1446a7b60bfab28ec58c35b609
https://www.bitcoinunlimited.info/voting/rendeproposal_vote_result/b10f54ece2ea3b9001086ebdde0001fbef9dc2fd83729a65ba207c0f1d9dfceb
These three voting records show members of BitcoinABC voting for the purchase of BSV coin, voting for an unfeasibly large block size increase (10TB), and voting for implementation of and miner-activation of BSV features into the BU client. None of these actions were implemented in the ABC client, and the inclusion of BSV features is likely the single biggest criticism certain ABC affiliated people have made against BU, yet members of BitcoinABC voted for it.
While it is important to assume good faith, under no interpretation can this be seen as anything other an act of bad will towards BU. Unfortunately this kind of behaviour is rather the rule than the exception and has likely been a major factor in BCH’s struggle to attract quality developers into the ecosystem.
Regardless of the hard work done by members of BU to create useful software for Bitcoin Cash, and its continued commitment towards peer-to-peer electronic cash for the past 5 years, ABC will unfortunately never allow any of BU’s work to go into the BCH protocol willingly.
If BU were to invest all its funds into BCH it would be making a highly risky bet on BitcoinABC’s leadership, a leadership that has not only been historically unsuccessful (when looking at the price of BCH since its creation, both in dollar terms and BTC/BCH ratio terms), but also actively hostile to our organisation. A more cautious approach that takes these factors into account is to keep the funds held where there has been less volatility.
Regardless of all of this, BU is still 100% committed to supporting Bitcoin Cash.

Game Theory: The Strategy of Betting Against Yourself

Counter intuitively, a strategy where you bet against yourself can provide a beneficial low-risk profile. When you bet against yourself, if you lose you win and if you win you win. With BU’s current asset holdings of BCH and BTC the organisation is financially hedged in a way that it wins if BCH wins, and if BTC wins then BU lives to fight another day for worldwide peer-to-peer electronic cash.
If BTC goes down and BCH goes up then it means BCH is succeeding, and our funds in BCH will sustain us for longer. Not only that, but there would likely be more funds available for BCH development in this scenario. If BTC goes up and BCH goes down then BU will be sustained for longer to continue the fight for BCH and peer-to-peer electronic cash.
This is very similar to the strategy of BCH-supporting miners mining on BTC and then converting the BTC block rewards into BCH in an effort to use BTC gains to support BCH price. BU is similarly using its gains in BTC and converting them to efforts and initiatives in support of BCH. In doing so Bitcoin Unlimited is able to turn any BTC win into a positive for BCH.

Incentives

It has been suggested that the situation created by holding a larger portion of funds in BTC than in BCH creates negative incentives that push BU towards supporting BTC. It is important to keep in mind that Bitcoin Unlimited is not a profit driven organisation. While an increase in value of its assets is of course beneficial to the organisation, our primary goal is to accelerate the global adoption of peer-to-peer electronic cash as described in the Bitcoin white-paper, and the officials, membership and founding articles of Bitcoin Unlimited are the driving force for this.
It is also important to point out that there is no evidence to support the claim that BU is in support of BTC (or BSV). In fact the voting record clearly shows the opposite of this. BU has continually worked in support of peer-to-peer electronic cash, and specifically in support of BCH since it was created. This is thanks to the strong commitment by the BU officials and members, all of whom are long time Bitcoiners and supporters of the ‘on-chain scaling’ movement. The only members who receive any payment from the organisation are those who provide significant value in the form of various skilled services, and all of these are voted on by the membership. The BUIP record also shows that compensated individuals are often compensated at far under market rates for developers of their caliber. Should the price of BTC increase, no member receives any direct benefit from this beyond any appreciation in value of any BTC they privately hold. Therefore there are no strong incentives for BU to drive the price of BTC up and push the price of BCH down as this would be counter to our primary goal.

Has This Strategy Been Successful?

Bitcoin Unlimited and its members, all being long-time Bitcoiners, are acutely aware of the need to play the long game to make sure a globally adopted peer-to-peer electronic cash becomes a reality. BU is the oldest entity within the BCH ecosystem and with good reason. The financial strategy of BU to date has been highly effective in sustaining the organisation over a long period of time, and allowing it to independently support BCH development initiatives. This is made clear by the fact that BU continues to have enough funding to provide value to the BCH ecosystem for the foreseeable future.
Had BU converted all funds to BCH at, or at almost any point after, the time of the BCH/BTC fork in August 2017, then for much of the time since it would have been forced to either scale back operations or shut down support for BCH developers completely. We now see development teams such as BitcoinABC facing the prospect of being unable to fund their development of BCH, and their financial strategy may have contributed to this reality. This is despite the fact that nearly all the funds donated in the recent community funding drive sponsored by bitcoin.com were directed towards BitcoinABC.
Lack of a sustainable funding model also seems to have been a major factor in pushing BitcoinABC to make the highly controversial decision to support a change to the BCH protocol that would divert 12.5% of the block reward to themselves. Being financially prudent and sticking to its principles (as defined in the founding Articles of Federation has allowed Bitcoin Unlimited to steer clear of any conflicts of interest such as this.

Summary

Through its financial strategy Bitcoin Unlimited has been able to maintain its independence and financial sustainability and has therefore remained in a strong position to support Bitcoin Cash. BU’s officials and membership have continually made good decisions that have allowed BU to provide long-term support for the Bitcoin Cash ecosystem.
submitted by BU-BCH to btc [link] [comments]

Halving in a Nutshell

Halving in a Nutshell submitted by samatao2 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Hoo Labs Launches Oikos(OKS) Token Sale

Hoo Labs Launches Oikos(OKS) Token Sale
Dear Hoo users,
Hoo Labs is launching Oikos(OKS) token sale on June 12 to June 14. In order to thank our users for their support, Hoo decided to have benefits for our users. Participants who successfully joined in the first round up to 1200 USDT or the second round up to 800 USDT, are eligible to participate in the Thanksgiving benefit third rounds of enjoying lower prices on Hoo.

Rules:
First Round: June 12
Amount: 270,000 USDT (10 million OKS)
Mode: First come, first served ( Support 1000 USDT to qualify for the third round)
Reference price: 1 OKS = 0.027 USDT
Time: 10:00 on June 12, 2020 to 24:00 on June 12, 2020 (UTC+8)
Accepted coin: USDT (wallet account)
Minimum invest: 100 USDT
Maximum invest: 10,000 USDT
Requirements: complete KYC, VIP 1 or above
Second Round: June 13
Amount:150,000 USDT (5 million OKS)
Mode: First come, first served ( Support 800 USDT to qualify for the third round)
Reference price: 1 OKS = 0.03 USDT
Time: 10:00 on June 13, 2020 to 24:00 on June 13, 2020 (UTC+8)
Accepted coin: USDT (wallet account)
Minimum invest: 100 USDT
Maximum invest: 10,000 USDT
Requirements: complete KYC, VIP 1 or above
Third Round: June 14
Amount: 125,000 USDT (5 million OKS)
Mode: Super Invest
Reference price: 1 OKS = 0.025 USDT
Time: 10:00 on June 14, 2020 to 24:00 on June 14, 2020 (UTC+8)
Accepted coin: USDT (wallet account)
Minimum invest: 100 USDT
Maximum invest: 5,000 USDT
Requirements: complete KYC and VIP 1 or above, and successful participation in the first round up to 1200 USDT or the second round up to 800 USDT.
Distribution & Trading: OKS tokens will be distributed by June 17, and trading will be enabled after a month once the token sale completed. Please stay tuned to Hoo official announcement for any updates.
Introduction to Oikos:
Decentralised Synthetic Assets, Oikos is a Tron based synthetic asset platform that provides on-chain exposure to fiat currencies, commodities, stocks, and indices. Synthetic assets (Synths) are backed by Oikos Network Tokens (OKS) locked into a smart contract as collateral. Synths track the prices of various assets, allowing crypto-native and unbanked users to trade P2C (peer-to-contract) on Oikos Exchange without liquidity limitations.
Trustless Token Exchange, Oikos Swap is a Tron port of Uniswap: a trustless decentralized exchange that allows users to trade any Tron-based token without any deposits or withdrawals to a centralized order book. Better yet, Oikos Swap liquidity pools have little to no slippage for the vast majority of transactions. Anyone can contribute by adding or removing liquidity to gain commissions in the form of exchange fees as well as rewards paid in OKS token.
The Team
Manuel Corona
Co-Founder & Marketing Expert
Manuel had an early fascination with technology that led him to work with many talented people and co-found several technology projects. He is a skilled marketer, IT expert and his interests span from programming to distributed system design and of course, cryptocurrencies. His early vision for Oikos was determinant and he led the project from the idea phase to deployment.
Albert Rodriguez
Co-Founder & Mad Scientist
Albert is an early Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tron adopter. His fascination for DeFi lead him to come up with the idea for Oikos and everything started from there. He is also a very talented developer with experience in several programming languages. His daily routine consists in drinking a lot of coffee, writing code and thinking of new possible directions for Oikos.
Kevin Holder
Software Engineer
Kevin is a talented software engineer that has been through the whole technology stack during the course of his career, from cryptography to front end web development. Before Oikos, he spent his time developing smart contracts, studying decentralized applications and contributing to open source. His programming languages of choice are, in no particular order, Solidity, JavaScript and Rust.
Technical Information
Arbitrage: OKS STAKER creates the debt by exploiting Synths, so if the Synths exchange rate system falls, they can now profit by buying back sUSD below par and burning sUSD to reduce debt. Because the Oikos system always puts a dollar value on $1.00.
sTRX Liquidity Pool: Liquidity providers are providing depth to the sTRX/TRX Oikos Swap liquidity pool. The deeper this pool, the less slippage traders pay when entering or exiting the system. Liquidity providers do not need to stake or hold OKS, only TRX and sTRX. To receive rewards they must stake their Oikos Swap LP tokens into a purpose-built smart contract.
OKS Auctions: Oikos is currently experimenting with a new mechanism in conjunction with dFusion (from Gnosis) where discounted OKS will be sold in TRX auctions and then used to purchase Synths under pegged.
Token Information
Name: Oikos Network Token (OKS)
Total supply: 100,000,000 OKS
Public Sale:0.025USD (20–31 May 2020)

https://preview.redd.it/wv5o6u8rq9451.png?width=601&format=png&auto=webp&s=bbc3cd6a39fcd09ed6a1f5b63b37c8d73be6bc3a

OKS Staking Rewards
Exchange fees are generated whenever a user exchanges one synthetic asset (Synth) for another through Oikos.Exchange. Fees are typically between 10–100 bps (0.1%-1%), though usually 30 bps, and when generated are sent to the fee pool, where it is available to be claimed proportionally by OKS stakers each week.The OKS reward is generated through the inflationary monetary policy implemented in March 2018. From March 2019 to August 2023, the total supply of OKS will increase from 100,000,000 to 260,263,816 with a weekly decay rate of 1.25% (from December 2019). Mortgagors can trade fees to receive incentives. The incentive that OKS receives through inflationary supply will gradually diminish until September 2023, when OKS will become a 2.5% Year-end inflation rate.
Mining, Burning, Mortgage Ratio
The above mechanism ensures that OKS mortgagees have an incentive to keep their collateral ratios (C-Ratio) at optimal ratios (currently at 800%). This ensures that Synths has sufficient collateral support to soak up large price shocks. If the value of OKS or Synths fluctuates, each staker’s C ratio will fluctuate. If the ratio is below 800% (despite the small allowance for minor fluctuations) then they will not be able to charges before the ratio recover. They can adjust their percentage if Synths are above 800% and burn Synths if their percentage are below 800%.
Roadmap
Q2 2020
Alpha launch, token distribution event, official Tron main-net launch.
Q3 2020
Official audit, listing on exchanges, launch of additional Synths.
Q4 2020
Launch of mobile-ready user interface, port TheGraph to Tron network.
Q1 2021
Integrate ChainLink technology, research on decentralized governance models, alternative liquidation mechanism.
Q2 2021
Support for more complex trading instruments. Transition to a fully decentralized governance model, use of TRX as collateral for Synth issuance.
Social Media:
Website: https://oikos.cash/
Whitepaper: https://docs.oikos.cash/litepaper-zh.pdf
Telegram: https://t.me/oikoscash
Twitter: https://twitter.com/oikos_cash
Github: https://github.com/orgs/oikos-cash/
Risk Alert: Any digital assets investment is risky. Please evaluate your risk tolerance before getting involved. Your support on Hoo is highly appreciated.
Hoo Team
June 10, 2020
submitted by Hooexchange to u/Hooexchange [link] [comments]

Aaaaaand Inflation!

Aaaaaand Inflation! submitted by kfernandez88 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

LeanFIRE and Goal Oriented Investing: 10 Mistakes you should avoid

Dear All -
After my earlier post regarding COVID-19 and 10 rules to deploy savings that generated lots of questions and interest I would like to share my thoughts about Goal Oriented Investing. While it's a 101 it may nevertheless be helpful to highlight especially in this market environment. I wasn't able to put graphs and videos here so you may find the full version here. Looking forward to hearing your feedback.

1. Not clearly defining your goals. Define your objectives and think in terms of sub-portfolios

Define your short and long term goals. Allocate to asset classes based on your time horizon (e.g. short term goals need to be carefully managed with a defensive portfolio since the short term volatility of high risk assets like stocks can hurt you). Be sure to have a reserve fund of liquid short-term investments and cash so you can cover emergencies and upcoming large expenses without having to sell your investments during down markets.

2. Not being patient and overreacting. Good things come to those who wait

Returns tend to smooth out over the long term. There is a myth about a Fidelity study that analysed all its performing accounts and realised that best performance came out of portfolios of people who either forgot about their accounts or were dead. You can understand why people believe these findings although the study never took place (look at the chart here - 1 to 20 year rolling performance again!). Logging into your brokepension plan account every day may not be helpful. You may tend to react – do not rush investment decisions.

3. Oveunderestimating your risk tolerance

Take a risk tolerance assessment if necessary to understand your risk profile. Your risk tolerance is important to tweak the asset allocation of your goal sub-portfolio. It is determined by: the degree of flexibility you have with regard to your financial goal, and your personal comfort level with volatility in your portfolio.

4. Aiming at influencing things outside of your control. Focus of what’s in your control

This is the Stoic part of the 10 recommendations (if you also happen to adhere to this philosophy get the Stoic newsletter I never stopped reading for the past 5 years). One of the eye-openers that you learn while studying for the gruelling (Chartered Financial Analyst ‘CFA’) Charter is that research estimates that asset allocation (not stock selection!) drives up to c. 90% of overall portfolio performance. You control asset allocation and rebalancing. You do control your spending and savings that will grow over time – don’t waste most of your time on researching individual stocks (read: Are you more qualified than a professional analyst).

5. Not acquiring enough education and taking excessive idiosyncratic risks

Some of the most trending Google searches during this COVID-19 pandemic include ‘best stocks to buy now’, ‘how to invest in oil stocks’, ‘best stock for 2020’ or ‘best investments for 2020’ etc. In fact the phrase ‘how to buy a stock’ surged to record highs. This also relates to FOMO which I have described here and chasing upward trends in a bear market. Acquiring Investment Knowledge is key as it is ultimately your decisions that will determine whether your hard-earned savings generate long term returns. Do your homework. Understand investment risks. Research fundamentals. Take a bit more time if needed – the market is efficient and is pricing in information relatively quickly – you have no edge in acting quickly.

6. Being overly conservative over the long run

Think of your goals as liabilities that you need to match with your investments. The power of compounding means that you need a much lower amount today to meet a higher amount expenditure in the future. Einstein said compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it; he who doesn’t, pays it. If you have high needs with long time horizon you need to take calculated risks. Invest too defensively (e.g. low allocation to Equities) and it may not match your long term objective. Buffett’s exceptional investment returns are also due to his time horizon.

7. Holding excessive cash. Not taking risks involves high opportunity costs

Believe it or not but a lot of bankers working for the top names tend to hold cash and under-invest. By holding cash you are not only missing out on compounding interest but also paying more taxes! Inflation is an indirect tax that works by destroying savings in exchange for gov’t financing. It gets worse – as central banks print an unprecedented amount of money – most standard measurements of inflation, such as the consumer price index (CPI), do not account for the disproportional effects of quantitative easing which is rising asset prices (monetary inflation). Even when you hear about deflation it’s often very misleading. This bear market may be a good opportunity to gradually deploy cash for long term returns if you haven’t already.
As an example – the ‘headline’ inflation in the UK (2.9%) that over 10 years increased prices by 29.29% vs. London Property Prices that increased over twice as much. The same applies to other real assets, like company valuations (stocks) or gold.

8. Not considering diversification

Yes, bonds are not as sexy as stocks since your returns may not be as spectacular in the short term but these are excellent diversifiers that may be sometimes better suited depending on your investment objective and time horizon. Other currencies or hard metals/BTC may be good as well. As an example YTD performance (as of March 9th when I did the analysis) was -14.2% for stocks, +6.1% for bonds and +10.7% for Gold.

9. Letting your emotions rule

This is difficult to implement since we tend to have emotional biases. If you do decide to have a small part of your goal-oriented strategic asset allocation dedicated to tactical asset allocation, sector or stock selection emotions could drive investment decisions based on loss aversion or overconfidence (e.g. confusing brains with a bull market). If it’s e.g. the latter try to stay humble/rational and ask yourself if you really have an edge before making a decision.

10. Forgetting to rebalance

Some advisors recommend that investors rebalance their portfolios on a regular time interval while others recommend rebalancing only when the relative weight of an asset class deviates from the target allocation (glide path investments). Either way, this is something that needs to be observed on a regular basis. I aim to discuss glide path investments in future posts.
With all charts: https://bankeronwheels.com/how-do-i-start-investing-start-learning-how-to-invest-in-stocks-and-bonds-by-avoiding-these-10-common-investing-mistakes/
Stay well!
submitted by bankeronwheels to leanfire [link] [comments]

CRAZY BITCOIN PRICE AREA TO WATCH FOR BULLISH BTC CONFIRMATION! THIS CHART PREDICTED EVERY MOVE THIS MONTH!!! - NOW IT PREDICTS A DUMP!!! - Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin Price Chart & Analysis 2/10/2020 Historical Price of Bitcoin (2010 - 2019) INSANE!! BITCOIN CHART MIGHT GET REKT?!! Crypto Analysis TA Today & BTC Cryptocurrency Price News

Bitcoin’s price is currently above the 100-day and 200-day moving averages (MA), as shown in the graph. At the same time, the crucial level of support of USD 8,700 – USD 8,900 still remains and also set a smaller level of support in USD 9,050 – USD 9,100 , which is where the pair is currently located BTC / USD. Bitcoin Options Data Shows Investors Betting on $50K BTC Price in 2021. Published. 2 weeks ago. on. July 7, 2020. By. Republished by Plato. Over the past three weeks, $150,000 worth of Bitcoin (BTC Then Bitcoin was mentioned on the popular news resource Slashdot, which provoked a 10-fold increase in its price over the next 5 days, from $0.008 to $0.08 for 1 BTC. On the same days (07.17.10) , the Mt.Gox exchange was launched, which subsequently was destined to repeatedly have a fatal influence on the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin Price (BTC). Price chart, trade volume, market cap, and more. Discover new cryptocurrencies to add to your portfolio. Bitcoin price is still rising. Experts predict the future rise for Bitcoin price as in 2017. 4 June 2019 $7,750 The price of bitcoin fell by more than 10%. 15 June 2019 $8,700 The price of BTC has risen above $ 8,000. Experts claim that the 2015 pattern is repeating. 16 June 2019 $9,311 Cryptocurrency updated the annual maximum at around $9000

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CRAZY BITCOIN PRICE AREA TO WATCH FOR BULLISH BTC CONFIRMATION!

Live charts of Bitcoin, and other top Altcoins. Live charts of Bitcoin, and other top Altcoins ... Bitcoin Price Action Predictive Matrix - Duration: 10:55:52. Mr. Money Matrix 9 views. New; 10:55:52. Let's discuss this live today and some insane cryptocurrency trading chart technical analysis (TA) + speculative price prediction(s) + current 2020 market news for cryptos in today's video/live ... Bitcoin charts are finally lined up and btc price is primed for a breakout. After waiting and tracking this bitcoin symmetrical triangle since the beginning of May, Bitcoin price finally enters ... Welcome to Team Underground, I (Thomas) do weekly BTC price analysis on YouTube. I've been full time trading bitcoin for over a year now and I've decided to share some of my analysis on YouTube ... Bitcoin Price Analysis with John Furner CEO of Walmart, Bitcoin BTC Halving and Walmart Updates The Furner 239 watching Live now How to Trade Fibonacci Retracements - Duration: 8:46.

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